000 AXNT20 KNHC 060535 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT SUN JUN 06 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W S OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS ALONG THE WAVE. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A MOISTURE MAXIMUM ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 1N-8N BETWEEN 27W-34W. TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED ALONG 42W S OF 9N. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT THIS WAVE HAS BECOME TILTED NW/SE AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ BASED ON POTENTIAL VORTICITY STREAMLINES AND EXTENDED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 39W-46W. TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W S OF 11N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK MID LEVEL CYCLONIC CURVATURE REMAINS ALONG THE WAVE. WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA AND LOSING ITS IDENTITY WITH NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/CONVECTION. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 8N11W 6N21W 4N34W 5N53W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF SIERRA LEONE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 1N TO THE ITCZ BETWEEN 10W-24W AND FROM 6N TO THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 34W-39W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS EXTENDS FROM OVER THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS SW ACROSS LOUISIANA ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO NW MEXICO. THIS IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE NE GULF COAST E 90W TO OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF WATERS ANCHORED JUST N OF CUBA NEAR 24N83W GIVING MOST OF THE GULF SW FLOW ALOFT. DIFFLUENCE ALOFT IS ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 22N BETWEEN 89W-93W INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF IS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. CARIBBEAN SEA... BROAD UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE SE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 72W. AN UPPER TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC DIPS S OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN WHILE A SECOND UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE TROPICAL ATLC COVERS THE SE CARIBBEAN. MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR ALOFT DOMINATES MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN GIVING THE ENTIRE AREA CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SW CARIBBEAN WHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA W OF 80W AND ALL OF COSTA RICA. ATLANTIC OCEAN... THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO COVERS THE THE W ATLC W OF 70W ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 30N W OF 79W ACROSS NE FLORIDA/SE GEORGIA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 76W-80W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS FROM 55W-70W DIPPING S TO OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N51W ALONG 24N55W TO 20N61W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 52W-59W AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE REMAINDER OF THE TROUGH AXIS S OF 30N. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS S OF 16N ANCHORED IN THE TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 10N50W EXTENDING FROM 35W INTO THE SE CARIBBEAN. A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE ATLC WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WITH A 1030 MB HIGH NEAR 35N38W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ WALLACE