000 AXNT20 KNHC 261102 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT WED MAY 26 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1015 UTC... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AROUND A WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 32N75W TO ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...ACROSS EASTERN CUBA...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO 12N80W. A SURFACE 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 31N75W. A SURFACE TROUGH CURVES FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 28N73W...ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS NEAR 26N77W...TO THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST NEAR 26N. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW HAS INVADED THE THE SPACE THAT WAS BEING COVERED BY CYCLONIC FLOW DURING THE LAST FEW DAYS...NOW TO THE RIGHT OF THE LINE FROM EXTREME EASTERN CUBA TO 26N72W 30N62W 26N47W. A SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM 19N79W TO HONDURAS NEAR 15N86W. SHOWERS ARE IN THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF JAMAICA. ...TROPICAL WAVES... AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS PART OF THE ITCZ PRECIPITATION. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 43W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS PART OF THE ITCZ PRECIPITATION. A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG ALONG 63W TO THE SOUTH OF 12N INTO VENEZUELA MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM VENEZUELA NEAR 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 60W AND 62W. OTHER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE WATERS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 60W AND 64W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 64W AND 70W IN NORTHERN VENEZUELA. A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W TO THE SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON TOP OF LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N74W IN COLOMBIA...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N72W IN THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W TO THE SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 13N BETWEEN 77W AND THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. ...THE ITCZ... FROM THE SIERRA LEONE COAST NEAR 11N15W TO 5N34W 5N43W... TO THE BRAZIL/FRENCH GUIANA BORDER NEAR 4N51W...TO 4N60W IN GUYANA. ISOLATED TO MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 2N TO 9N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 60W. THE COMPARATIVELY STRONGEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NOW ARE FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 30W AND 34W...AND ALONG THE COAST FROM FRENCH GUIANA AND SURINAME TO 7N BETWEEN 54W AND 55W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN ACROSS MEXICO TO THE NORTH OF 24N. LARGE-SCALE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A 95W RIDGE. THE TROUGH ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY GOES FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN SPECIAL FEATURE 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...ACROSS EASTERN CUBA...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 12N80W. THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA IS FLAT AND WEAK. A 1013 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 23N80W IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... THE TROUGH ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE SPECIAL FEATURE 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER PASSES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...ACROSS EASTERN CUBA...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 12N80W. A SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM 19N79W TO HONDURAS NEAR 15N86W. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS OF JAMAICA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ACCOMPANYING THE 73W TROPICAL WAVE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AROUND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO WITH THE 63W TROPICAL WAVE. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA WITH THE 82W/83W TROPICAL WAVE. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GOES FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 35N24W TO 32N25W TO 23N29W TO 18N29W. NO PRECIPITATION IS DISCERNIBLE WITH THIS TROUGH. BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 56W. THIS FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 31N29W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT