000 AXNT20 KNHC 150602 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT THU APR 15 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0415 UTC... ...THE ITCZ... FROM COASTAL LIBERIA NEAR 6N10W TO 2N20W 1N30W 1N40W... CROSSING THE EQUATOR ALONG 48W/49W...INTO NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 1S52W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING IN BRAZIL DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS FROM 2S TO THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 51W AND 54W...FROM BRAZIL INTO SURINAME AND FRENCH GUIANA FROM 1S TO 3.5N BETWEEN 54W AND 58W...AND IN SOUTHERN GUYANA TO THE SOUTH OF 4N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 19W AND 23W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION HAVE BEEN OCCURRING FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 12W AND 14W...FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 52W AND 56W... AND FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 60W AND 61W MOVING FROM EXTREME NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA INTO THE COASTAL WATERS TO THE EAST OF TRINIDAD. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 19W AND 23W. THE GULF OF MEXICO... SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO FROM 27N TO 29N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W...IN AN AREA OF MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW THAT GOES FROM 25N TO 30N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STILL EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MEXICO TOWARD THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS COVER THE AREA FROM EL SALVADOR TO THE CENTRAL YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 85W AND 86W...AND IN THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES TO SEVEN INCHES WERE BEING MEASURED IN PUERTO RICO 24 HOURS AGO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THREE INCHES TO FOUR INCHES WERE BEING MEASURED IN SOME PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 24 HOURS TO 48 HOURS AGO. A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 19.5N63W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1011 MB LOW CENTER THAT IS NEAR 20N63W TO 24N63W 33N57W. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2.5 INCHES TO 3 INCHES WERE OBSERVED IN GUADELOUPE FOR THE 12 HOURS ENDING 14/0000 UTC...AND FOR THE 12 HOURS ENDING AT 15/0000. RAINSHOWERS EASILY ARE POSSIBLE FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 49W AND 60W...AND TO THE NORTH OF 17N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS TO 48 HOURS...DEPENDING ON THE GEOGRAPHY AND OROGRAPHY WHERE YOU LIVE. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA IS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE BASE OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN REACHING THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA STILL REACHES 20N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD ACROSS BERMUDA...POSSIBLY STILL REACHING 20N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT COLD FRONT THAT GOES FROM 33N59W TO 30N70W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1011 MB LOW CENTER THAT IS NEAR 19.5N63W TO 22N63W TO 27N60W TO 33N57W. THE TROUGH REMAINS FROM AN ALREADY-WEAKENED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A 992 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 37N16W. CYCLONIC FLOW ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 15N TO THE EAST OF 40W. SURFACE CYCLONIC FLOW IS TO THE NORTH OF 22N TO THE EAST OF 30W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT