000 AXNT20 KNHC 141053 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT WED APR 14 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1015 UTC... ...THE ITCZ... FROM COASTAL LIBERIA NEAR 8N12W TO 3N20W 2N30W 2N40W...CROSSING THE ITCZ ALONG 50W...INTO NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR 1S52W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 10W AND 16W...WITHIN A 15 NM TO 30 NM RADIUS OF 2N13W...FROM 4N TO 5N BETWEEN 27W AND 32W...AND FROM 2N TO 5N BETWEEN 38W AND 42W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ELSEWHERE FROM 2N TO 7N BETWEEN 42W AND BRAZIL. THE GULF OF MEXICO... UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN ACROSS MEXICO TO EASTERN MEXICO. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HUGS THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF MEXICO...FROM WEST TEXAS/THE TEXAS BIG BEND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE CITY OF CAMPECHE IN MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WITH A RIDGE COVERS THE REST OF THE AREA. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FAR WEST OF TEXAS...IN MEXICO FROM 26N TO 28N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W...AND FROM THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 24N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... ONE SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM 21N60W TO ANTIGUA/BARBUDA TO JUST TO THE WEST OF GUADELOUPE TO 13N63W IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS COVER THE AREA FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 56W AND 62W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 23N69W TO SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO TO 23N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE AREA. A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRESENT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 33N56W 27N52W 18N50W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE RIDGE. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS TO THE WEST OF THE RIDGE. THIS CYCLONIC FLOW SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT STILL IS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG 33N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. A SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM 33N60W TO 32N60W 24N68W TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO NORTHWARD BEYOND 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 70W. A 992 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 34N18W. CYCLONIC FLOW ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 13N TO THE EAST OF 40W. A SURFACE TROUGH EMANATES FROM THE 988 MB LOW CENTER AND IT PASSES THROUGH 32N13W TO THE EASTERN CANARY ISLANDS TO 22N20W TO 19N30W AND 18N43W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT