000 AXNT20 KNHC 021133 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 AM EST TUE MAR 02 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1115 UTC... ...THE ITCZ... FROM THE SIERRA LEONE COAST NEAR 9N13W TO 5N20W 3N30W 2N40W... CROSSING THE EQUATOR ALONG 45W...INTO NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL NEAR 2S48W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 3N25W AND 3N34W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 30 NM TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N12W 5N20W 3N30W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 3N30W 2N40W 2N52W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS MOVING FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THIS CENTER INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. A 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN OCCLUDED FRONT GOES FROM THE LOW CENTER TO A TRIPLE POINT THAT IS NEAR 30N86W. A WARM FRONT GOES FROM THE TRIPLE POINT TO THE FLORIDA GULF COAST NEAR 30N84W. A COLD FRONT GOES FROM THE TRIPLE POINT 24N90W AND 20N95W. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TO THE NORTH OF 25N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W...INCLUDING ACROSS FLORIDA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BEING EXPERIENCED TO THE NORTH OF 26N TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT...AND TO THE NORTH OF 26N WITHIN 180 NM TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT. SEA HEIGHTS RANGE FROM 8 FEET TO 13 FEET IN THESE AREAS. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... A STATIONARY FRONT GOES FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 21N61W TO 20N64W AND THE MONA PASSAGE NEAR 18N69W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W TO THE NORTH OF HISPANIOLA...ACROSS THE BAHAMAS...AND ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF CUBA. THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT WAS A REMNANT OF THE LAST COLD FRONT WAS NOT APPARENT AT 02/0600 UTC. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN LOW CLOUDS THAT ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 82W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA. THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS RELATED TO LARGER-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND LOW PRESSURE COVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 28N TO THE WEST OF 40W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS NEAR 39N58W. A 978 MB STORM CENTER IS NEAR 40N61W. THE COLD FRONT THAT EMANATES FROM THE 978 MB STORM CENTER EVENTUALLY PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 25N50W TO 21N61W. A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 21N61W TO 20N64W AND THE MONA PASSAGE. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM TO 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N49W 29N37W BEYOND 32N33W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE REST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A POST-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT IS MARKED BY A DEFINITE LINE OF CLOUDS...PASSES THROUGH 32N51W TO 27N60W TO 27N70W. DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 25N BETWEEN AFRICA/EUROPE AND 30W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS NEAR 38N18W. A 983 MB STORM CENTER IS NEAR 38N18W. THE COLD FRONT THAT EMANATES FROM THE 987 MB STORM CENTER PASSES THROUGH 32N14W TO THE EASTERN CANARY ISLANDS TO 23N24W. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 25N OVER THE WATERS TO THE EAST OF 20W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 23N35W...FROM 13N TO 30N BETWEEN 26W AND THE 32N44W 21N61W FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 28N74W...FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 69W AND 80W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT