000 AXNT20 KNHC 020550 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 105 AM EST TUE MAR 02 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND GOES-12 SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0345 UTC...AND METEOSAT-9 IMAGERY THROUGH 0500 UTC... ...THE ITCZ... FROM THE SIERRA LEONE COAST NEAR 9N13W TO 5N20W 3N30W 2N40W... CROSSING THE EQUATOR ALONG 45W...INTO NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL NEAR 2S48W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 2N BETWEEN 36W AND 38W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN ARE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N12W 4N21W 3N27W 3N40W 2N47W 5N53W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS MOVING FROM EAST TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THIS CENTER INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 23N94W. A 1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. A COLD FRONT GOES FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 20N95W. A WARM FRONT GOES FROM THE LOW CENTER ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING NOW WITHIN 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...AND TO THE NORTH OF 26N TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT. SEA HEIGHTS MAY REACH 14 FEET IN THESE AREAS. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...INCLUDING IN THE U.S.A. GULF COAST STATES. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... A STATIONARY FRONT GOES FROM 23N57W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO 20N64W AND IT STOPS IN THE MONA PASSAGE AT 18N69W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 17N76W 14N79W 10N80W. THIS TROUGH IS THE REMNANT OF THE COLD FRONT FROM THE LAST 24 HOURS TO 48 HOURS. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN LOW CLOUDS THAT ARE FROM 15N TO JAMAICA BETWEEN 77W AND 80W... MOVING NORTHWARD. BROAD UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA. THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS RELATED TO LARGER- SCALE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND LOW PRESSURE COVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 28N TO THE WEST OF 40W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS NEAR 40N61W. A 976 MB STORM CENTER IS NEAR 41N62W. THE COLD FRONT THAT EMANATES FROM THE 976 MB STORM CENTER EVENTUALLY PASSES THROUGH 32N46W TO 27N50W TO 23N57W. A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 23N57W TO 20N64W AND THE MONA PASSAGE. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM TO 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N50W 29N43W BEYOND 32N41W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE STATIONARY FRONT. DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 25N BETWEEN AFRICA/EUROPE AND 30W. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS NEAR 39N20W. A 987 MB STORM CENTER IS NEAR 38N20W. THE COLD FRONT THAT EMANATES FROM THE 987 MB STORM CENTER PASSES THROUGH MADEIRA ARCHIPELAGO NEAR 33N16W TO THE WESTERN CANARY ISLANDS TO 25N23W. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 30N BETWEEN 8W IN MOROCCO AND 15W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 23N36W...FROM 13N TO 30N BETWEEN 26W AND THE 32N46W 20N64W FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N74W...FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 69W AND 80W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT