000 AXNT20 KNHC 240559 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT WED JUN 24 2009 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 63W/64W TO THE SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WESTWARD 15 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER LAND IN VENEZUELA FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 65W AND 66W. OTHER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE IN VENEZUELA FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 64W AND 67W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY WINDS MOVE ON TOP OF THE AREA THROUGH WHICH THIS WAVE IS MOVING. ...THE ITCZ... FROM AFRICA NEAR 12N16W TO 7N30W 4N40W TO 4N50W...ACROSS NORTHERN FRENCH GUIANA INTO NORTHERN GUIANA NEAR 6N59W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 15W AND 16W...FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 24W AND 28W...AND FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 49W AND 55W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 10N EAST OF 40W. ...DISCUSSION... IN INTERIOR MEXICO AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER IS NEAR 25N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVER MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. A 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 24N96W JUST OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO. CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION HAVE DEVELOPED FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 92W AND THE MEXICO COAST. A DEEP LAYER TROUGH HAS BEEN IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC FLOW CARRIES OVER FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...OVER LAND...WITH NORTHERLY FLOW FROM LOUISIANA EASTWARD ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION HAVE MOVED SOUTHWARD DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION ARE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LINE FROM THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR 29N91W TO KEY WEST FLORIDA. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CENTERED NEAR SARASOTA NOW. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... THE 63W/64W TROPICAL WAVE MAY BE HELPING TO PRODUCE THE CURRENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL VENEZUELA. A MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN NORTH CENTRAL NICARAGUA NEAR 13N85W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THIS CYCLONIC CENTER TO 16N82W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE CYCLONIC CENTER...IN NICARAGUA AND ALONG THE PACIFIC OCEAN COAST NEAR 11N86W. MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE WESTERN HALF OF HONDURAS. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS COVER THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF 13N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W...IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A DEEP LAYER WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH SUPPORTS THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT IS ALONG THE LINE FROM 31N69W TO 26N75W TO 27N77W. A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 27N77W BEYOND 31N84W IN NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NOW COVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 67W AND 69W...AND FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 62W AND 64W. OTHER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W... AND WITHIN 60 NM TO 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N70W 28N67W BEYOND BERMUDA. THIS PRECIPITATION COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM THE BAHAMAS TO BERMUDA. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 23N48W. CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THIS CENTER COVERS THE AREA FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 43W AND 57W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N20W TO 26N23W TO 18N32W. $$ MT