000
AXNT20 KNHC 240526
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION 
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR... 
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W S OF 9N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE SHOWS 
CYCLONIC TURNING ALONG THE ITCZ.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS PREDOMINATELY W OF THE AXIS FROM EQ-2N 
BETWEEN 44W-49W.  

TROPICAL IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA ALONG 73W MOVING W 12 KT.  
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-7N 
BETWEEN 68W-72W.  

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N10W 5N20W 3N40W 5N53W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 1N-7N BETWEEN 
21W-26W.  ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-6N BETWEEN 
33W-36W.   

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
A SMALL 1018 MB HIGH IS OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 29N87W.  
ANTICYCLONIC SURFACE WINDS ARE N OF 25N E OF 90W.  10-15 SELY 
WINDS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 
NOTED ON RADAR OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 
78W-81W MOVING TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 26N90W.  
CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS MOST OF THE GULF.  SUBSIDENCE IS W OF 
90W...WHILE CONSIDERABLE TROPICAL MOISTURE IS OVER THE E GULF E 
OF 90W.  EXPECT PATCHES OF CONVECTION OVER THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA...THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FROM 
21N-23N BETWEEN 85W-87W.  MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE PRODUCING 
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.  IN 
THE UPPER LEVELS... AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER 
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 17N64W.  ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA N OF 12N AND E OF 82W.  SW 
FLOW WITH CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE 
W CARIBBEAN SEA W OF 82W.  EXPECT...CUBA...THE W CARIBBEAN AND 
CENTRAL AMERICA TO HAVE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.    

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC ALONG 32N70W 31N80W.  
OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
THE FRONT.  A LARGE 1028 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC 
NEAR 36N24W.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS OVER 
THE W ATLANTIC W OF 45W DUE TO THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
CENTERED OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  A TROUGH IS N OF 15N BETWEEN 
35W-45W.  AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE E 
ATLANTIC NEAR 21N25W.  ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 15N BETWEEN 
20W-35W.  A ELY FLOW IS OVER THE TROPICS S OF 10N BETWEEN 
10W-50W.   

$$
FORMOSA