000 WTPZ35 KNHC 252049 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021 ...ENRIQUE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 103.3W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Zihuatanejo northwestward to Cabo Corrientes. In addition, a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Cabo Corrientes northward to San Blas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... *Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... *Cabo Corrientes to San Blas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 103.3 West. Enrique is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). The storm is forecast to gradually slowdown with a turn toward the northwest expected to occur by Sunday. On the forecast track, the core of Enrique is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast and Enrique is likely to become a hurricane on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in eastern portions of the warning area. These winds are expected to spread westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday. RAINFALL: The outer bands of Enrique are likely to cause locally heavy rains over portions of southwestern Mexico, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi