000 WTPZ35 KNHC 162031 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 16 2016 ...DARBY UNEXPECTEDLY BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 124.9W ABOUT 1025 MI...1655 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Darby was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 124.9 West. Darby is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward or west-northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is expected during the next few of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Darby is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Darby could lose hurricane intensity on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg