000 WTPZ35 KNHC 181450 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014 800 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014 ...TRUDY MOVED INLAND BUT HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 98.8W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH AND MAINTAINED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE EAST OF ACAPULCO TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF ACAPULCO TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TRUDY WAS LOCATED INLAND MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST. TRUDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...BUT LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA OVER WATER. TRUDY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY OR SOONER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY. RAINFALL...TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SURF...SWELLS AND DANGEROUS WAVES GENERATED BY TRUDY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA