000 WTPZ35 KNHC 171743 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 1100 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014 ...ODILE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 113.0W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM W OF CABORCA MEXICO ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SW OF TUCSON ARIZONA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. INTERESTS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE DUE TO THE THREATS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS ODILE MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL OCCUR FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO. RAINFALL...ODILE AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART