000 WTPZ35 KNHC 112036 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 200 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...ODILE A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 104.7W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST. ODILE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND THIS GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A SLOW TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY. SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS