000 WTPZ35 KNHC 111438 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 800 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...ODILE DRIFTING WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 104.2W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST. ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT OR ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ODILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY. SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS