000
WTPZ35 KNHC 091433
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOVA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
800 AM PDT SUN OCT 09 2011
 
...JOVA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 108.7W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOVA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST. JOVA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST
IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  JOVA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND JOVA COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE BY MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART