000 WTPZ35 KNHC 062035 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOVA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102011 200 PM PDT THU OCT 06 2011 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2011 SEASON... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 107.5W ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST. JOVA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND JOVA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART