000
WTPZ34 KNHC 181439
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 AM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...RESILIENT CARLOTTA MAINTAINING DEPRESSION STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 103.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Carlotta was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 103.1 West.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight.
On the forecast track, the remnants of Carlotta should be near the
coast tonight and early Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to become a remnant
low by tonight, and dissipate by Tuesday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Southwesterly swells are affecting the coast of southern and
southwestern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts