000
WTPZ34 KNHC 180836
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 AM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...CARLOTTA INCHING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MICHOACAN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 102.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta
was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 102.6 West.
Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through the day.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to dissipate by
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Southwesterly swells are affecting the coast of southern and
southwestern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg