000
WTPZ34 KNHC 180237
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY MORNING JUST SOUTH OF
MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS AND MUDSLIDES STILL POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 102.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Carlotta was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 102.2 West.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center will be moving parallel to
but just offshore of the coast of Mexico through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Carlotta is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by
Monday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart