000
WTPZ34 KNHC 172034
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 101.9W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta
was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 101.9 West.  The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday.  On
the forecast track, the center will be moving parallel to but just
offshore of the coast of Mexico through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Carlotta is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or
early Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch