000 WTPZ34 KNHC 010834 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DALILA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 200 AM PDT MON JUL 01 2013 ...DALILA HAS NOT STRENGTHENED BUT STILL HAS A CHANCE TO DO SO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 105.1W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.1 WEST. DALILA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...BUT DALILA IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRENGTHENING TODAY AND TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BY TONIGHT. RAINFALL...DALILA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...AND JALISCO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA