000
WTPZ34 KNHC 282035
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NORMAN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142012
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 28 2012
 
...NORMAN EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BY TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 108.7W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM WNW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ NORTHWARD TO
HUATABAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST. NORMAN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND A NORTHWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORMAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL
IN THE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...WITH
WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...NORMAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES...ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND FAR WESTERN
DURANGO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE WARNING AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN