000
WTPZ34 KNHC 292041
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 PM PDT THU SEP 29 2011
 
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS HILARY WITH 50 MPH WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 120.7W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.7 WEST.  HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
THROUGH FRIDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN WEST IS
FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HILARY COULD
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM THE AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1000
MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG