000 WTPZ34 KNHC 280831 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011 200 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2011 ...HILARY STEADILY WEAKENING...EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 118.1W ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.1 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID WEAKENING ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN