000 WTPZ34 KNHC 280250 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011 800 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011 ...HILARY TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 117.7W ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.7 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H....AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HILARY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN