000
WTPZ34 KNHC 272038
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011
 
...HILARY NOW MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 117.1W
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.1 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HILARY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN