000 WTPZ34 KNHC 271433 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011 800 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011 ...HILARY EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 116.4W ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.4 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY ADDITIONAL WEAKENING ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN