000
WTPZ34 KNHC 270247
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 PM PDT MON SEP 26 2011
 
...HILARY STILL MOVING WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 114.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF CLARION ISLAND
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST.  HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL TRACK IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY
TUESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT OVERALL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN