000
WTPZ34 KNHC 261434
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 AM PDT MON SEP 26 2011
 
...HILARY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 113.1W
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL TRACK IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY LATE
TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS
A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...BUT OVERALL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN