000
WTPZ34 KNHC 260835
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 AM PDT MON SEP 26 2011
 
...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE INTENSITY OR MOVEMENT OF HILARY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 112.2W
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR HILARY TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN