000
WTPZ34 KNHC 260240
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...POWERFUL HILARY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 111.3W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST...THEN NORTHWEST IS FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR
HILARY TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN