000
WTPZ34 KNHC 250839
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...HILARY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKENS A LITTLE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 108.4W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE OVERALL TREND IS FOR HILARY TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HILARY IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN