000
WTPZ34 KNHC 250232
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 24 2011
 
...NOTHING NEW ON HILARY...STILL MOVING WESTWARD WITH 135 MPH
WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 107.7W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND NO CHANGE IN TRACK IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY IN
THE SHORT TERM...BUT THE OVERALL TREND IS FOR HILARY TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA