000 WTPZ34 KNHC 242040 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011 200 PM PDT SAT SEP 24 2011 ...TINY HILARY CONTINUES AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 106.8W ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED AT ABOUT THE SAME SPEED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART