000
WTPZ34 KNHC 240239
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...POWERFUL HURRICANE HILARY WITH 145 MPH WINDS HEADING OUT TO
SEA...
  
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 104.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE DISTINCT EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK HILARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO AND HEAD OUT
TO SEA. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR...HILARY SHOULD REMAIN AS A INTENSE HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

HILARY IS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA