000
WTPZ34 KNHC 212332
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HILARY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
500 PM PDT WED SEP 21 2011
 
...HILARY GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON
THURSDAY... 
 

SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 96.9W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA MEXICO WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PARALLEL THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. SOME
RAIN BANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING A PORTION OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HILARY COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...
OAXACA...AND GUERRERO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA