000
WTPZ34 KNHC 212052
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 PM PDT WED SEP 21 2011

CORRECTED WATCH/WARNING SECTION
 
...HILARY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED
FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 96.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA MEXICO WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PARALLEL THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. SOME
RAIN BANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING A PORTION OF THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HILARY COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...
OAXACA...AND GUERRERO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH