000 WTPZ34 KNHC 231435 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 800 AM PDT SAT JUL 23 2011 ...DORA WEAKENING OVER THE COLDER WATER SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 111.9W ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DORA SHOULD MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL AND WELL OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN