000 WTPZ34 KNHC 230555 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 1100 PM PDT FRI JUL 22 2011 ...DORA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 110.9W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.9 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... DORA WOULD BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY SUNDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...IF DORA MOVES AS FORECAST...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA. HOWEVER... TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR TOMORROW IF DORA MOVES TO THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART