000
WTPZ34 KNHC 230236
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
800 PM PDT FRI JUL 22 2011
 
...DORA CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 110.5W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...
DORA WOULD BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...IF DORA MOVES AS FORECAST...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL
REMAIN OFFSHORE TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA.  HOWEVER...
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR
TOMORROW IF DORA MOVES TO THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN