000 WTPZ34 KNHC 210537 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 1100 PM PDT WED JUL 20 2011 ...CATEGORY FOUR DORA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFFSHORE OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.3N 105.7W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.7 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART