000
WTPZ34 KNHC 202036
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DORA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
200 PM PDT WED JUL 20 2011
 
...DORA BECOMES THE SECOND MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC
SEASON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 104.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 355 MI...565 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DORA IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO OVER THE
DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DORA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  DORA COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE TOMORROW BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON
FRIDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA BY TONIGHT AND WITHIN THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN