000 WTPZ34 KNHC 192034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 200 PM PDT TUE JUL 19 2011 ...DORA MOVING QUICKLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 98.6W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.6 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DORA SHOULD MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DORA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...AND IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 192034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 200 PM PDT TUE JUL 19 2011 ...DORA MOVING QUICKLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 98.6W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.6 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DORA SHOULD MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DORA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...AND IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE