000 WTPZ34 KNHC 191446 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2011 ...DORA NEARLY A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.9N 97.1W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO ABOUT 395 MI...630 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DORA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...AND IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY LATE WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MAINLAND MEXICO LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 191446 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2011 ...DORA NEARLY A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.9N 97.1W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO ABOUT 395 MI...630 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST. DORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DORA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...AND IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY LATE WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MAINLAND MEXICO LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE