000 WTPZ33 KNHC 252035 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 200 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...MARIE GRADUALLY WEAKENING BUT STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 115.8W ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MORE RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN MARIE MOVES OVER COLDER WATER...AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY...AND WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG