000 WTPZ33 KNHC 251433 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...EYE OF MARIE VERY NEAR CLARION ISLAND... ...LARGE SWELLS MOVING UP THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TOWARD SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 114.8W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM WSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...932 MB...27.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIE IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT MARIE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 932 MB...27.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY...AND WILL REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG