000 WTPZ33 KNHC 222032 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 200 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2014 ...MARIE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 103.5W ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST. MARIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND MARIE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY SUNDAY OR MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH