000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311441
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082011
800 AM PDT WED AUG 31 2011
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 102.7W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WNW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A
SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE
WATCH AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
REACHES THE COAST.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER MOVES
ONSHORE...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY
LATE THURSDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAIN...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO... MICHOACAN...
AND COLIMA.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH