000 WTPZ32 KNHC 291747 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Two-E Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022023 100 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ONSHORE THE COASTS OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 99.2W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Manzanillo Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests along the west-central coast of Mexico and in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. Additional warnings and watches may be required later today or on Friday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two-E was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 99.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is expected through early Saturday, followed by a decrease in forward speed later on Saturday and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move parallel to and very close to the southwestern coast of Mexico through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system could become a hurricane by Friday evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Two-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep2.shtml WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area Friday and Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area beginning later today and continuing through Friday evening. RAINFALL: Through Saturday, storm total rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with maximum amounts of 7 inches, is expected across southern Mexico from Oaxaca west to Jalisco. This rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are forecast to build and spread northward along the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg