000
WTPZ32 KNHC 251746
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172021
100 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021
 
...RICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM WHILE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN 
MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 102.5W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM N OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued all watches and warnings 
for the coast of Mexico.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was 
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 102.5 West.  Rick is 
moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A generally 
northward motion is expected over the next 12 to 24 hours.  On the
forecast track, the center of Rick will move farther inland over
Mexico today and tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Continued weakening is expected this afternoon and 
evening, and Rick is forecast to dissipate over the mountainous 
terrain of Mexico tonight.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) 
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rick can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2, WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC,
and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?key_messages.
  
RAINFALL:  Rick is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with
isolated storm total amounts of 20 inches across sections of the
Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan through Tuesday. This heavy
rainfall will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rick will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico through early Tuesday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch